NEUROSCIENCE Risk preferences in New Yorkers’ everyday decisions. Correlation of risk preferences across different decision-making domains. ABSTRACT Most of the important decisions that we make in life are made under conditions of uncertainty...
More infoRational Imprecision: Information Processing, Neural, and Choice-Rule Perspectives
NEUROSCIENCE Rational Imprecision: Information Processing, Neural, and Choice-Rule Perspectives AUTHORS: Kai Steverson, Adam Brandenburger, and Paul Glimcher ABSTRACT People make mistakes. A rationally imprecise decision...
More infoA Bayesian model of insight
NEUROSCIENCE A Bayesian model of insight ABSTRACT We are building a computational model of insight. The core of this model permits actions to dissociate from intentions. Our model provides a Bayesian “definition” of insight as the probability...
More infoTesting the DDM: A Behavioral Experiment to Measure Evidence Accumulation During Decision Making
ECONOMICS Testing the DDM: A Behavioral Experiment to Measure Evidence Accumulation During Decision MakingAUTHORS: Stefan F. Bucher and Paul W. Glimcher OBJECTIVE Drift-diffusion models (DDM) have had empirical success in fitting choice and...
More infoEstimating the perceptual decisions of others
NEUROSCIENCE Estimating the perceptual decisions of others ABSTRACT An important corollary of a Bayesian model of insight is that this model can be applied to estimate confidence in others’ decisions, assigning a degree of responsibility to other...
More infoPupil dilation contributes to insight in decision-making
NEUROSCIENCE Pupil dilation contributes to insight in decision-making ABSTRACT Insight in decision-making refers to the accurate appraisal of one’s skills and capabilities. In this study we found that participants who had better insight...
More infoEnvisioning the Improbable: Judgment and Strategy in Heavy-Tailed Contexts
NEUROSCIENCE Envisioning the Improbable: Judgment and Strategy in Heavy-Tailed Contexts ABSTRACT This multi-method research seeks to increase understanding of the judgment, behavior, and performance of individuals and organizations in...
More infoGenes, Smoking, and Health
NEUROSCIENCE Genes, Smoking, and Health ABSTRACT Research on the impact of genes on smoking and through smoking on health. We are using the genomic Health and Retirement Survey both to confirm earlier GWAS findings on smoking and genes, and to...
More infoEconomic decision-making in Drosophila larvae
NEUROSCIENCE Economic decision-making in Drosophila larvae ABSTRACT The goal of this project is two-fold. First, we use tools from microeconomics to characterize the choices of wild type Drosophila larvae as they tradeoff goods (dark and food) in...
More infoThe Measurement of Subjective Value and Its Relation to Contingent Valuation and Environmental Public Goods
NEUROSCIENCE The Measurement of Subjective Value and Its Relation to Contingent Valuation and Environmental Public Goods AUTHORS: ABSTRACT Environmental public goods—including national parks, clean air/water, and ecosystem services—provide...
More infoLearning the probability of success in a simple motor task from sequences of success and failure
NEUROSCIENCE Learning the probability of success in a simple motor task from sequences of success and failure ABSTRACT Successful decision making depends on accurate knowledge of probabilities of outcomes: should I really try to climb that sheer...
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