NEUROSCIENCE Envisioning the Improbable: Judgment and Strategy in Heavy-Tailed Contexts ABSTRACT This multi-method research seeks to increase understanding of the judgment, behavior, and performance of individuals and organizations in...
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More infoA Bayesian model of insight
NEUROSCIENCE A Bayesian model of insight ABSTRACT We are building a computational model of insight. The core of this model permits actions to dissociate from intentions. Our model provides a Bayesian “definition” of insight as the probability...
More infoPupil dilation contributes to insight in decision-making
NEUROSCIENCE Pupil dilation contributes to insight in decision-making ABSTRACT Insight in decision-making refers to the accurate appraisal of one’s skills and capabilities. In this study we found that participants who had better insight...
More infoISDM Researchers Discover Neuroscience Link Between Sports, Weather, and Gambling
NEUROSCIENCE ISDM Researchers Discover Neuroscience Link Between Sports, Weather, and Gambling AUTHORS: A. Ross Otto, Stephen M. Fleming and Paul W. Glimcher ABSTRACT The fact that your favorite sports team unexpectedly won yesterday won’t...
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More infoEstimating the perceptual decisions of others
NEUROSCIENCE Estimating the perceptual decisions of others ABSTRACT An important corollary of a Bayesian model of insight is that this model can be applied to estimate confidence in others’ decisions, assigning a degree of responsibility to other...
More infoThree Exciting Papers Published by ISDM Prof. Jay van Bavel
Three Exciting Papers Published by ISDM Prof. Jay van Bavel May 10, 2017 Congratulations to Professor Jay van Bavel, who collaborated in three papers that have recently been published. For the paper, Decoding “us” and “them”: Neural...
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Road trips, music, festivals & fun await you in the City
More infoDecision-Making Across the Life Span
NEUROSCIENCE Decision-Making Across the Life Span ABSTRACT Characterizing behavioral changes in decision-making across the life span and understanding why they occur has significant implications for behavioral problems associated with poor...
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Explore the adventures awaiting for you in the City’s Parks
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